ChinaRed
0x5641fdc0f6e6eb1a44be27943d8bb24c74bf2038
- Realised P&L
- $-98.68
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $538.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.16at 0.384Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$1.19at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:02 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31? | BUY | 0.357 | $35.70 |
| 10-13 14:46 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5652556124 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 14:45 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5426642214 | $16.27 |
| 10-12 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1546787419 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $12.38 |
| 10-12 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $127.92 |
| 10-12 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3674287332 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-12 16:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-12 14:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |