Po1yamory
0x56280cd4cf8f902b3971338ddb04038e9dbfabbc
- Realised P&L
- $-30.1k
- Volume
- $8.11M
- Markets traded
- 26,988
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded26,988
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.044Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$3.5kat 0.046Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
- +$2.6kat 0.060Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?
- +$2.4kat 0.001Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?
- +$2.2kat 0.120Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 12:24 | Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel | BUY | 0.32 | $0.80 |
| 04-02 10:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $32.19 |
| 04-02 09:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $30.42 |
| 04-02 09:29 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $59.05 |
| 04-02 08:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $89.46 |
| 04-02 07:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $1.79 |
| 04-02 07:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $379.31 |
| 04-02 07:31 | San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Alujas vs Nicolas Mejia | BUY | 0.9 | $696.00 |
| 04-02 07:23 | Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel | BUY | 0.32 | $310.28 |
| 04-02 02:51 | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.59 | $287.74 |
| 04-02 02:51 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $202.69 |
| 04-02 02:43 | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.72 |
| 04-02 02:43 | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $232.51 |
| 04-01 23:58 | Pacers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.6 | $1.2k |
| 04-01 23:55 | Blues vs. Kings | BUY | 0.43 | $817.00 |