newalf007
0x561f60ae9f4d76b37a38139037e1d86a14eca015
- Realised P&L
- $-64.69
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.25at 0.598Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$17.80at 0.110Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
- +$15.45at 0.690Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$10.00at 0.880MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$4.90at 0.510Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 06:10 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 06:09 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 06:04 | Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2289999236 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 05:49 | Will Meta (META) finish week of August 31 above $580? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 05:39 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.585 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 05:25 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 05:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 05:20 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 22:20 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1625 | $9.75 |
| 07-10 19:08 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1675 | $8.38 |
| 07-10 19:07 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1625 | $16.25 |
| 07-10 19:07 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.235 | $11.75 |
| 02-08 22:26 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 12-15 05:43 | Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? | SELL | 0.571 | $14.27 |
| 12-02 04:40 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |