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Traders

newalf007

0x561f60ae9f4d76b37a38139037e1d86a14eca015

Realised P&L
$-64.69
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$7.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3700.066$3.27$15.22
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.2290.197$1.72$0.28
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8201.000$1.22+$0.22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? · Yes0.3100.255$0.82$0.18
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.7300.031$0.04$0.96
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$11.75
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$8.38
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$3.60
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? · No0.5850.000$0.00$1.00
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? · No0.1600.000$0.00$4.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 06:10Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
09-02 06:09Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3399999411$3.00
09-02 06:04Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.2289999236$2.00
09-02 05:49Will Meta (META) finish week of August 31 above $580?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-02 05:39Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?BUY0.585$1.00
09-02 05:25Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-02 05:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
09-02 05:20Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
07-10 22:20Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1625$9.75
07-10 19:08Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1675$8.38
07-10 19:07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1625$16.25
07-10 19:07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.235$11.75
02-08 22:26Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.33$16.50
12-15 05:43Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?SELL0.571$14.27
12-02 04:40No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.1$10.00