PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x56187cd0431986ff11dfa9cf86c852173734d7f8

0x56187cd0431986ff11dfa9cf86c852173734d7f8

Realised P&L
$17.85
Volume
$653.12
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$6.28

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3260.649$1.99+$0.99
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.5101.000$1.96+$0.96
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.7300.982$1.35+$0.35
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes0.3300.325$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 03:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:03Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3259999641$1.00
10-08 10:15Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 02:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 14:37Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 14:01SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 15:43Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 12:07Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-06 11:32Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:41Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 13:01Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 19:53Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 14:30Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-04 14:30Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-04 07:39Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5899998466$1.00