blastlll
0x5618180cb836e48eb009c579afa6b6f62ec6fa83
- Realised P&L
- $-11.21
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $630.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.984 | 0.992 | $630.91 | +$5.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.48at 0.619Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$11.91at 0.694Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$10.32at 0.820EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
- +$1.33at 0.622Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 06:44 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $625.82 |
| 07-15 11:42 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $589.51 |
| 07-09 03:05 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $589.51 |
| 06-11 11:31 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $433.44 |
| 06-04 02:28 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $423.12 |
| 05-28 09:43 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $79.50 |
| 05-27 07:23 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $234.00 |
| 04-30 01:44 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.613 | $232.94 |
| 04-18 08:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.694 | $292.87 |
| 04-15 08:54 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.694 | $292.87 |
| 04-08 06:17 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.728 | $422.97 |
| 04-01 11:23 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.683 | $219.93 |
| 03-30 08:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.646 | $208.01 |
| 03-24 06:27 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.619 | $342.31 |