PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

m48935

0x5616e759855158529250d439064977fbf0e7b41a

Realised P&L
$541.50
Volume
$32.8k
Markets traded
1,751
Open portfolio
$147.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,751
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) · 76ers0.5400.555$14.55+$0.39
South Alabama vs. Marshall: O/U 67.5 · Over0.4600.455$13.73−$0.15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5500.805$12.98+$4.11
Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino · Yanaki Milev0.6300.660$7.54+$0.34
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5 · Under0.5200.535$7.25+$0.20
Spread: Delaware (-1.5) · Delaware0.5600.565$7.17+$0.06
Missouri State vs. Delaware: O/U 51.5 · Over0.5500.555$7.16+$0.06
Spread: Delaware (-2.5) · Delaware0.5400.545$7.14+$0.07
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · 76ers0.5000.505$7.09+$0.07
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 · Under0.5000.505$7.09+$0.07
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5 · Under0.4500.460$7.07+$0.15
Spread: Delaware (-3.5) · Delaware0.4600.465$7.02+$0.08
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 47.5 · Under0.5400.535$7.01−$0.07
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Thunder0.5400.535$7.01−$0.07
Spread: Florida International (-10.5) · Florida International0.4800.475$6.91−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 22:02Spread: Delaware (-1.5)BUY0.56$7.11
10-20 22:02Spread: Delaware (-3.5)BUY0.46$6.94
10-20 22:01Spread: Delaware (-2.5)BUY0.54$7.08
10-20 21:44Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy CassoneSELL0.999$11.10
10-20 21:44Fort Worth: Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesSELL0.999$15.36
10-20 21:44Game Spread: Murphy Cassone (-1.5) vs Kenta Miyoshi (+1.5)SELL0.999$15.36
10-20 21:14Spread: Luton Town FC (-1.5)SELL0.999$13.32
10-20 20:35Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Murphy CassoneBUY0.65$7.22
10-20 20:25Fort Worth: Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesBUY0.46$7.07
10-20 20:15Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 47.5BUY0.54$7.08
10-20 20:12Spread: Spurs (-1.5)BUY0.54$7.08
10-20 20:01Spread: Knicks (-5.5)BUY0.54$7.08
10-20 19:3076ers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5BUY0.45$6.92
10-20 19:3076ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5BUY0.5$7.01
10-20 19:3076ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5BUY0.52$7.05