stephen01011
0x561410e653c3712760eb1d3d29e0e751c34a04a3
- Realised P&L
- $185.16
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.369 | $7.9k | −$1.3k |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.644 | 0.375 | $270.10 | −$193.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.09at 0.331Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:07 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6441651626 | $463.97 |
| 10-18 07:07 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6263371057 | $5.6k |
| 10-18 06:47 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.615 | $61.50 |
| 10-18 05:48 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.424770383 | $184.90 |
| 10-17 23:53 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.42 | $96.60 |
| 10-17 23:41 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $116.10 |
| 10-17 20:13 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.46 | $64.40 |
| 10-17 19:21 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.3199535009 | $344.04 |
| 10-17 19:19 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.2922818442 | $3.7k |