spiritfrog
0x5603236bdf39737e857ce9f9c9b780b3259706aa
- Realised P&L
- $0.38
- Volume
- $85.38
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $46.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20?
- +$0.00at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19?
- +$-0.04at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?
- +$-0.09at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19?
- +$-0.34at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.28 | $0.01 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.13 |