PolyBot

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Traders

spiritfrog

0x5603236bdf39737e857ce9f9c9b780b3259706aa

Realised P&L
$0.38
Volume
$85.38
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$46.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · No0.4500.610$2.03+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? · No0.5400.700$1.94+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 19? · No0.7400.790$1.60+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? · No0.5800.605$1.56+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 19? · No0.8800.910$1.55+$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 20? · No0.7100.730$1.54+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? · No0.7900.810$1.54+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 19? · No0.8000.820$1.54+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · No0.6600.675$1.53+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? · No0.8800.895$1.53+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? · No0.7900.865$1.50+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20? · No0.5700.570$1.50+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? · No0.8300.825$1.49$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.4400.435$1.48$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 19? · No0.9000.880$1.47$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.4$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.84$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.74$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.28$0.01
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.64$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-19 00:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20?SELL0.84$0.13