PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4CcFeD85A710a724149eFe9707c9F5Ad442618A6-1777946637271

0x5602e5219decb84205d2632d5b731d1ee0fe012f

Realised P&L
$-4.14
Volume
$388.38
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$4.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29? · Yes0.0400.038$1.90−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? · Yes0.0080.006$1.64−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? · Yes0.2900.275$0.95−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.68$1.33
09-28 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-28 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL0.82$3.01
09-28 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.5299998967$1.95
09-28 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.96$1.00
09-28 14:33Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.2$0.95
09-28 14:33Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.11$0.98
09-28 13:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.04$1.00
09-28 13:36Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla ValleSELL0.27$0.96
09-28 13:19Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.04$1.00
09-28 13:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.0116274$1.00
09-28 13:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.006$1.00
09-28 13:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-28 13:11Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla ValleBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-28 13:06Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis ShapovalovSELL0.4$0.85