0x4CcFeD85A710a724149eFe9707c9F5Ad442618A6-1777946637271
0x5602e5219decb84205d2632d5b731d1ee0fe012f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.14
- Volume
- $388.38
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.038 | $1.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.275 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$0.27at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.115Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.09at 0.215Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $1.33 |
| 09-28 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $3.01 |
| 09-28 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998967 | $1.95 |
| 09-28 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:33 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.95 |
| 09-28 14:33 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.98 |
| 09-28 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:36 | Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle | SELL | 0.27 | $0.96 |
| 09-28 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0116274 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:11 | Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:06 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | SELL | 0.4 | $0.85 |