Kippekok
0x55fce12d865c3c96d26cefba1efb6da58efb132e
- Realised P&L
- $306.25
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.945 | $519.23 | +$19.23 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No | 0.770 | 0.745 | $450.87 | −$15.13 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.785 | $304.07 | +$106.52 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $188.90 | −$9.60 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? · No | 0.056 | 0.059 | $163.87 | +$8.87 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.295 | $158.04 | −$141.96 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.265 | $143.24 | −$56.76 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.54 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No | 0.442 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.62at 0.629Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$184.26at 0.956Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$157.83at 0.680Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$43.94at 0.846US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$20.71at 0.706Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:13 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $460.00 |
| 10-28 14:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $467.44 |
| 10-28 13:20 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 07:43 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.0552492428 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 07:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9597709862 | $155.61 |
| 10-27 13:38 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 14:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $620.00 |
| 10-17 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $500.00 |
| 10-15 07:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.1k |
| 10-13 14:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999995 | $1.1k |
| 10-09 12:47 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.984239281 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 09:11 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-09 07:33 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.6175905277 | $702.94 |
| 10-09 07:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.97 | $718.95 |
| 09-24 20:44 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999989 | $197.55 |