PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

melonjeep

0x55fb5fabcc31e7c8ecde3751f428a023519f1616

Realised P&L
$57.75
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$111.15

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Yes0.8800.955$54.26+$4.26
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19? · Yes0.8100.875$21.60+$1.60
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15? · No0.9171.000$18.00+$1.49
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.9400.999$8.70+$0.51
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · No0.9290.987$6.91+$0.41
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? · Yes0.8600.072$1.67−$18.33
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00−$2.77
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 10:46Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?BUY0.9199999845$50.00
10-16 18:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.88$50.00
10-16 10:07Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
10-14 16:56Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
10-14 04:36Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?BUY0.8599999983$20.00
10-13 16:12Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?BUY0.8599999983$30.00
10-13 12:02Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?BUY0.9169999979$16.51
10-13 07:51Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?BUY0.8399999989$30.00
10-11 10:18Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.8159203946$20.00
10-08 11:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-08 07:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9199999845$50.00
10-06 13:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.909999999$9.36
10-06 05:49US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.9399999534$12.50
10-03 11:42Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9329999977$9.85
10-01 19:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.8899999942$13.79