Rhabarberbarbarbar
0x55e2436d747835c7e40b0c6cf92f632bf1215fc9
- Realised P&L
- $99.3k
- Volume
- $4.87M
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $2.3k | +$16.01 |
| Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.155 | $376.38 | +$75.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.5kat 0.394Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
- +$24.4kat 0.665Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$16.7kat 0.524Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$15.9kat 0.591Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
- +$14.9kat 0.140Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.031 | $121.74 |
| 08-02 02:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0805426189 | $7.44 |
| 08-02 02:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.2k |
| 08-01 01:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.0k |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9939480156 | $17.5k |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.0k |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1766666667 | $53.00 |
| 07-31 20:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9848516074 | $231.29 |
| 07-31 20:10 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.789 | $257.50 |
| 07-31 20:06 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.4814887114 | $963.73 |
| 07-31 13:48 | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499173554 | $90.70 |
| 07-31 11:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9938544688 | $2.7k |
| 07-31 11:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.005 | $8.96 |
| 07-31 01:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.01 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 01:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.011 | $188.26 |