doudzer
0x55d2f9cb71770b0f66f6e87e34ef5d11630a61ca
- Realised P&L
- $199.86
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $251.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.018 | $98.05 | −$2.64 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $78.66 | −$0.38 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.009 | $74.39 | −$59.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.06at 0.597US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$104.07at 0.340US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$70.84at 0.690Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$49.16at 0.174Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
- +$36.40at 0.675Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:05 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $79.04 |
| 09-15 12:45 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 14:27 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179039911 | $91.48 |
| 09-09 14:26 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $163.98 |
| 04-13 18:03 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.5973194851 | $228.52 |
| 04-08 07:05 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $157.68 |
| 04-07 20:08 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.3399999971 | $53.61 |
| 03-22 21:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.7099999921 | $59.48 |
| 03-22 21:05 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.48 |
| 03-22 20:10 | Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.9989999934 | $59.55 |
| 06-22 13:18 | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BUY | 0.1744687071 | $10.39 |
| 06-22 13:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.864 | $5.16 |
| 06-21 05:55 | US military action against Iran by Saturday? | BUY | 0.93 | $139.50 |
| 06-19 08:24 | US military action against Iran by Thursday? | BUY | 0.9099999996 | $131.70 |
| 06-19 08:21 | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | SELL | 0.9330708466 | $131.70 |