0x55c102af39126f4d64eb1fc4641a4e3fd75c63ca
0x55c102af39126f4d64eb1fc4641a4e3fd75c63ca
- Realised P&L
- $6.17
- Volume
- $148.03
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $2.58
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.967 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.984 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.055 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.12at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 21:39 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:05 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:20 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:40 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:35 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:49 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:31 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:25 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $152 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |