coinman2
0x55be7aa03ecfbe37aa5460db791205f7ac9ddca3
- Realised P&L
- $1.44M
- Volume
- $85.06M
- Markets traded
- 4,143
- Open portfolio
- $61.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.0kat 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$113.8kat 0.270Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?
- +$89.1kat 0.763Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
- +$72.6kat 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 11?
- +$69.9kat 0.053Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 12:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $40.48 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.17 | $255.00 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.1416528926 | $8.57 |
| 11-01 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $939.36 |
| 11-01 10:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.325 | $32.50 |
| 11-01 08:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 11-01 07:20 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $803.10 |
| 11-01 07:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.46 |
| 11-01 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 07:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $599.81 |
| 11-01 06:59 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.14 | $17.94 |