PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ghostorder

0x55b9e6a1dcca2defb01636ba41e9f76a0883a814

Realised P&L
$139.2k
Volume
$12.77M
Markets traded
4,209
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,209
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants · Los Angeles Dodgers0.7930.905$1.5k+$185.75
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint · Maya Joint0.5800.685$1.1k+$165.67
Northwestern vs. Indiana · Indiana0.9011.000$913.05+$89.75
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse · Anna Bondar0.4920.345$707.25−$302.07
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Tokyo Yakult Swallows0.5480.750$256.06+$68.82
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint · Lanlana Tararudee0.3900.315$157.50−$37.50
Will Martinique win on 2026-09-25? · No0.8800.994$149.03+$17.02
Houston Astros vs. Athletics · Houston Astros0.6400.055$45.55−$484.35
Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.4400.971$38.09+$20.82
Clemson vs. California · California0.5900.375$37.50−$21.50
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Chunichi Dragons0.6300.251$6.23−$9.44
Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-25? · No0.3000.029$0.70−$6.42
Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1160.001$0.33−$75.08
Will Barbados win on 2026-09-25? · No0.3300.001$0.21−$138.99
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.4100.001$0.19−$153.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 03:00Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.09$0.45
09-26 02:53Houston Astros vs. AthleticsBUY0.63$5.74
09-26 02:48Houston Astros vs. AthleticsBUY0.64$524.16
09-26 02:34Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.8$628.80
09-26 02:34Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.8$544.80
09-26 02:31Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.74$142.21
09-26 02:04St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.6499999996$478.10
09-26 01:58St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.41$192.70
09-26 01:39St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.38$304.76
09-26 00:33Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.77$16.17
09-26 00:29New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.25$25.00
09-26 00:29New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.23$179.86
09-25 23:56Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.6699999996$542.34
09-25 23:54New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.59$2.95
09-25 20:45Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesBUY0.3699999997$368.55