EarthlyDelights
0x55b721af9b6323ddc994db71878e1e0be5133775
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $722.8k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.997 | $7.0k | +$66.51 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.952 | 0.970 | $3.4k | +$60.76 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.986 | $2.5k | +$5.51 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No | 0.951 | 0.978 | $2.4k | +$66.25 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.956 | 0.964 | $481.76 | +$3.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.424[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.1kat 0.880US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$335.66at 0.940US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
- +$293.40at 0.980Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$259.53at 0.981Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.958 | $4.0k |
| 10-27 18:18 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $2.8k |
| 10-27 18:17 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9612738455 | $961.25 |
| 10-27 18:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $150.19 |
| 10-19 03:41 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.973 | $973.00 |
| 09-05 18:31 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $816.93 |
| 08-27 14:14 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $480.99 |
| 08-27 14:11 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 08-27 10:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $334.15 |
| 08-26 15:39 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 08-26 15:39 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9885956655 | $61.12 |
| 08-26 15:38 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $56.48 |
| 08-26 15:28 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9933231504 | $20.81 |
| 08-26 12:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.951 | $195.27 |
| 08-26 12:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.40 |