PolyBot

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Traders

OATH1989

0x55b396e9059f959204a232a78844a5bd70314dcb

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$271.9k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$45.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9050.920$20.3k+$336.86
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.8760.915$10.4k+$444.56
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8750.860$2.9k−$52.06
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7010.735$2.8k+$131.80
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8190.850$2.6k+$94.41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8150.805$2.0k−$23.82
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6900.715$1.0k+$36.25
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5150.515$800.39+$0.29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? · Yes0.4810.640$400.17+$99.17
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? · Yes0.5410.590$327.91+$26.93
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0950.103$327.21+$26.06
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.2080.255$306.41+$55.92
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6590.705$267.94+$17.49
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0940.115$167.40+$30.33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2550.275$161.87+$11.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:04Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7399999992$194.18
11-01 18:03Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5299999994$200.00
11-01 18:03Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.004$21.33
11-01 18:02Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.011$25.00
11-01 18:02Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0119860878$38.52
11-01 18:01Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.69$494.25
11-01 16:14Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.1852783294$49.05
11-01 16:13Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.67$50.92
11-01 16:01Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.1481755502$94.13
11-01 16:00Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.0112166945$47.20
11-01 16:00Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1199999999$50.00
11-01 16:00Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1089999998$50.00
11-01 15:59Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5299999995$300.05
11-01 15:59Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?SELL0.88$253.12
11-01 15:58Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$307.85