OATH1989
0x55b396e9059f959204a232a78844a5bd70314dcb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $271.9k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $45.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.696Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$811.12at 0.839Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
- +$288.94at 0.629Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
- +$266.82at 0.788Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
- +$155.21at 0.616Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:04 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $194.18 |
| 11-01 18:03 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 18:03 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.004 | $21.33 |
| 11-01 18:02 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.011 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:02 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0119860878 | $38.52 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $494.25 |
| 11-01 16:14 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1852783294 | $49.05 |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $50.92 |
| 11-01 16:01 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1481755502 | $94.13 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0112166945 | $47.20 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1089999998 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 15:59 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $300.05 |
| 11-01 15:59 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $253.12 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $307.85 |