0x55A4b7e05910Ff5534b88BA00F2D1321d6Df1574-1776345984757
0x55a4b7e05910ff5534b88ba00f2d1321d6df1574
- Realised P&L
- $-245.18
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $215.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.895 | $210.59 | +$10.59 |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.230 | $3.41 | −$0.15 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.086 | $1.30 | −$2.29 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.99 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| China/France vs. Belgium/Germany · Belgium/Germany | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.00at 0.196US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
- +$52.25at 0.164Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.45at 0.125UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$33.82at 0.605Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?
- +$28.09at 0.522Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 16:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 15:59 | Spain vs. USA | BUY | 0.9469999981 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 15:58 | Spain vs. USA | BUY | 0.0609999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 15:57 | China/France vs. Belgium/Germany | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:57 | China/France vs. Belgium/Germany | BUY | 0.1059220028 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 15:44 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 15:42 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 15:54 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 15:53 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 10:11 | Will CF Intercity win on 2026-08-14? | BUY | 0.0034844274 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 10:08 | Will Atletico Levante UD win on 2026-08-14? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 17:19 | UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 17:15 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5699999943 | $14.00 |
| 08-12 17:15 | Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 05:25 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |