ElonMusk-real
0x559df8fb1ae10a1426093c48729dd98d8d168f5b
- Realised P&L
- $-50.00
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $112.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.040 | $90.91 | −$9.09 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $19.91 | −$30.09 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$40.50 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 13:57 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0056801819 | $49.00 |
| 10-18 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.0139889052 | $42.00 |
| 10-14 14:16 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0064874441 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 14:11 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0188326082 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 14:11 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.044 | $100.00 |