0x559d637804781ee293998fd279f12a827165d6cc
- Realised P&L
- $8.93
- Volume
- $78.44
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $9.56
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.310 | 1.000 | $3.22 | +$2.22 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.750 | $2.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.825 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.895 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.280 | 0.250 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.306 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.80at 0.560S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:49 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:37 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3869998994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 18:45 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:43 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:43 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 18:42 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 09:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:42 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 03:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 04:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.80 |