PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cypheonz

0x559cd7e0e4b452a87774cdf0dba17164ca61b1d0

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$114.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$378.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2870.240$378.51−$73.53
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$286.59
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? · No0.4120.000$0.00−$2.5k
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? · No0.2580.000$0.00−$1.1k
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$8.5k
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 17:07Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsBUY0.69$1.0k
09-06 04:42Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.65$1.0k
01-19 19:20Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.2166666667$6.50
01-19 16:28Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.2164300412$8.41
01-17 18:52Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.27$351.00
01-17 17:57Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.26$186.61
01-16 02:42Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.25$545.00
01-15 13:28Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.2927822752$20.61
01-13 03:21Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?BUY0.95$1.5k
01-13 03:20Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?BUY0.9369225413$2.3k
01-13 00:34Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?BUY0.13$34.04
01-02 09:05Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.2974166667$178.45
01-02 09:04Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.28$273.60
01-02 09:03Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.6914012527$1.1k
12-30 06:12Lighter Airdrop on December 30?SELL0.94$9.8k