cypheonz
0x559cd7e0e4b452a87774cdf0dba17164ca61b1d0
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $114.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $378.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.240 | $378.51 | −$73.53 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$286.59 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? · No | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? · No | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.5k |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.699Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
- +$521.48at 0.661Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
- +$433.99at 0.701Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
- +$234.00at 0.942Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?
- +$221.50at 0.893Ethereum Up or Down on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 17:07 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $1.0k |
| 09-06 04:42 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.65 | $1.0k |
| 01-19 19:20 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2166666667 | $6.50 |
| 01-19 16:28 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2164300412 | $8.41 |
| 01-17 18:52 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $351.00 |
| 01-17 17:57 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $186.61 |
| 01-16 02:42 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $545.00 |
| 01-15 13:28 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2927822752 | $20.61 |
| 01-13 03:21 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.5k |
| 01-13 03:20 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9369225413 | $2.3k |
| 01-13 00:34 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $34.04 |
| 01-02 09:05 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2974166667 | $178.45 |
| 01-02 09:04 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $273.60 |
| 01-02 09:03 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.6914012527 | $1.1k |
| 12-30 06:12 | Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.8k |