Patriscia
0x55923e6d3c2aa493f393a30cee2127434ad2a85b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $35.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $331.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.935 | $300.13 | +$11.23 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.024 | $31.32 | −$138.33 |
| Bulls vs. Nets · Bulls | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Florida Atlantic Owls · Florida Atlantic Owls | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23? · No | 0.262 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$917.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.47076ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
- +$1.5kat 0.500SNHL: Ambri-Piotta vs. Davos
- +$28.88at 0.880Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$21.00at 0.853Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$12.80at 0.870Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 12:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $85.80 |
| 06-28 12:32 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $84.50 |
| 06-28 12:07 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.1150248756 | $4.62 |
| 06-04 12:23 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $306.24 |
| 05-26 09:10 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $308.80 |
| 05-22 01:50 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9359999999 | $348.19 |
| 04-21 06:58 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.107 | $18.19 |
| 04-14 12:38 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.927 | $1.3k |
| 04-07 01:30 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.886 | $708.80 |
| 03-23 01:10 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.801 | $961.20 |
| 03-21 06:32 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.09 |
| 03-18 11:07 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.868 | $1.0k |
| 03-09 09:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.846 | $14.63 |
| 03-09 09:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.846 | $338.40 |
| 03-09 09:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.846 | $253.80 |