PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Patriscia

0x55923e6d3c2aa493f393a30cee2127434ad2a85b

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$35.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$331.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · No0.9000.935$300.13+$11.23
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.1300.024$31.32$138.33
Bulls vs. Nets · Bulls0.5400.000$0.00$1.9k
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Florida Atlantic Owls · Florida Atlantic Owls0.4300.000$0.00$1.5k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 23? · No0.2620.000$0.00$917.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 12:43Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.13$85.80
06-28 12:32Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.13$84.50
06-28 12:07Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.1150248756$4.62
06-04 12:23Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.88$306.24
05-26 09:10Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?BUY0.965$308.80
05-22 01:50Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?BUY0.9359999999$348.19
04-21 06:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.107$18.19
04-14 12:38Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.927$1.3k
04-07 01:30Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.886$708.80
03-23 01:10Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.801$961.20
03-21 06:32Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.85$0.09
03-18 11:07Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.868$1.0k
03-09 09:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.846$14.63
03-09 09:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.846$338.40
03-09 09:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.846$253.80