emapol5
0x558d249bba3f93d45eeb3d0a0df40bf49843f0b0
- Realised P&L
- $-60.88
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $33.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.048Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$0.55at 0.040Will Alycia Gruenhagen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$0.55at 0.040Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$0.51at 0.041Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.51at 0.041Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 00:15 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.10 |
| 03-29 00:15 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.10 |
| 03-26 16:50 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 03-26 16:50 | Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-20 03:48 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.10 |
| 03-20 03:48 | Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.15 |
| 03-19 16:45 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 03-19 16:45 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.01 |
| 03-15 01:45 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.10 |
| 03-15 01:45 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.10 |
| 03-15 01:45 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.0462393162 | $1.08 |
| 03-06 03:23 | Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 03-06 03:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 03-04 15:18 | Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-04 15:18 | Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.10 |