PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lurki

0x5588f7349642817545d0f347d25c0bea3e5cf061

Realised P&L
$160.73
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$133.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0070.018$17.50+$10.00
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.120$12.28+$1.02
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · Yes0.1000.120$12.00+$2.00
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0050.006$10.27+$2.22
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0500.050$10.00+$0.00
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · Yes0.0280.029$9.87+$0.26
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$8.50$1.50
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.0800.073$6.54$0.63
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0280.042$5.94+$1.98
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? · Yes0.0580.045$5.40$1.60
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.105$5.25$3.45
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · Yes0.1740.085$5.18$5.41
X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes0.1920.115$4.82$3.22
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? · Yes0.0500.058$3.06+$0.44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0600.030$3.05$2.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 15:59Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?SELL0.06$3.00
08-22 20:25Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
08-12 10:57Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?BUY0.003$4.14
07-30 15:29Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.09$14.40
07-21 11:20Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?BUY0.011$0.14
07-10 15:07Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?BUY0.021$6.55
07-04 05:56Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?BUY0.16$3.84
06-24 17:33Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$6.80
06-24 17:30X banned in any European country by December 31?BUY0.1917028381$8.04
06-23 21:25Will Trump say "Satan" in June?BUY0.059$5.90
06-23 21:24Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?BUY0.1322222222$7.14
06-23 21:22Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?SELL0.991$29.73
06-23 05:36Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?BUY0.037$2.96
06-21 08:59Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$4.80
06-21 07:01Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?SELL0.147$1.11