Lurki
0x5588f7349642817545d0f347d25c0bea3e5cf061
- Realised P&L
- $160.73
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $133.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.84at 0.082Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
- +$20.17at 0.024Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$7.95at 0.035Will Trump and Putin not meet?
- +$6.87at 0.127Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
- +$5.90at 0.190Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 15:59 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 20:25 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 10:57 | Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.14 |
| 07-30 15:29 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $14.40 |
| 07-21 11:20 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.14 |
| 07-10 15:07 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $6.55 |
| 07-04 05:56 | Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.84 |
| 06-24 17:33 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 06-24 17:30 | X banned in any European country by December 31? | BUY | 0.1917028381 | $8.04 |
| 06-23 21:25 | Will Trump say "Satan" in June? | BUY | 0.059 | $5.90 |
| 06-23 21:24 | Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June? | BUY | 0.1322222222 | $7.14 |
| 06-23 21:22 | Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June? | SELL | 0.991 | $29.73 |
| 06-23 05:36 | Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.96 |
| 06-21 08:59 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.80 |
| 06-21 07:01 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? | SELL | 0.147 | $1.11 |