pabalo
0x557c1b9cf7948384187dc48aca50868ef1320c4e
- Realised P&L
- $15.42
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $289.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.980 | $56.29 | +$1.72 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.993 | $55.04 | +$0.86 |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.931 | $53.61 | −$1.58 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.955 | $52.97 | +$0.83 |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.961 | 0.960 | $52.38 | −$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.964 | $19.28 | +$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.30at 0.942Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
- +$2.35at 0.936Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.12at 0.980Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.07at 0.974Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
- +$1.05at 0.954Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:22 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9769999997 | $20.24 |