pabalo
0x557c1b9cf7948384187dc48aca50868ef1320c4e
- Realised P&L
- $12.25
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $157.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.980 | 0.987 | $55.18 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.957 | $54.51 | +$0.85 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · No | 0.952 | 0.955 | $48.19 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.936Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.07at 0.974Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
- +$1.05at 0.954Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- +$1.00at 0.940Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$0.79at 0.978Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:22 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9769999997 | $20.24 |