y5ephe65
0x5570ad4a378a6fae7238b2a423fb6416cc6ef033
- Realised P&L
- $3.04
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $144.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.971 | 0.959 | $95.90 | −$1.20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $48.70 | +$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.979Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.53at 0.950Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.47at 0.979Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$0.30at 0.980Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
- +$0.10at 0.983Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 08:58 | Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |