0x554f900B0Ea14EA604B27b603a5fB1131677c3c7-1772579539896
0x554f900b0ea14ea604b27b603a5fb1131677c3c7
- Realised P&L
- $-21.45
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,186
- Open portfolio
- $50.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,186
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.727 | 0.640 | $26.40 | −$3.60 |
| Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.027 | $11.85 | −$8.15 |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.205 | $7.59 | −$2.41 |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.027 | $4.91 | −$15.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.43at 0.767Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$5.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:18 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7272389129 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 17:55 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.2699729884 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.1100821306 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.0455671103 | $20.00 |
| 06-05 16:51 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7599999987 | $70.00 |
| 03-30 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.12 |
| 03-30 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.17 |
| 03-30 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.17 |
| 03-30 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.17 |
| 03-30 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.17 |
| 03-17 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.13 |
| 03-16 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.18 |
| 03-13 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 03-13 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.37 |