dbbbt
0x554d219486e15c8c8f1f17963b281cb494e8eb95
- Realised P&L
- $-15.7k
- Volume
- $715.3k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? · No | 0.873 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Brazil leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$701.09 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-28? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$432.54 |
| Patriots vs. Browns · Patriots | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) · Timberwolves | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$207.90 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.2kat 0.443Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
- +$5.6kat 0.727Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$3.0kat 0.748Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.6kat 0.502Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
- +$2.5kat 0.441US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $8.3k |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.9610386631 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 21:24 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.9555765815 | $4.3k |
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.4k |
| 11-01 20:36 | Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 20:35 | Unicaja vs. Barcelona | SELL | 0.999 | $383.75 |
| 11-01 20:22 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.4k |
| 11-01 19:45 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.999 | $109.89 |
| 11-01 19:45 | Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 19:39 | Unicaja vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.470160102 | $180.60 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.829848 | $2.1k |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 17:19 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $671.31 |
| 11-01 17:18 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $116.61 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.3k |