0x5544920ecf0964df46bafc6986d5c07194a65d0d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.24
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $30.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.045 | $10.19 | +$0.11 |
| Will Yuta Funemizu / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No | 0.760 | 0.380 | $7.60 | −$7.60 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.059 | $6.54 | −$0.06 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $2.48 | −$0.35 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.042 | 0.042 | $2.08 | −$0.02 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.205 | $2.05 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.260Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
- +$0.00at 0.520Will Jalina Ingram advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?
- +$-0.14at 0.032Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-0.43at 0.120Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$-0.49at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:48 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.045 | $10.08 |
| 09-17 06:42 | Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 06:38 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 06:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.84 |
| 09-16 12:14 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 09-16 12:06 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 11:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.86 |
| 09-16 11:35 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.68 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 11:23 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.45 |
| 09-16 11:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.13 |
| 09-16 11:22 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.14 |
| 09-16 11:22 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.66 |
| 09-16 11:19 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.86 |
| 09-16 11:19 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.34 |