PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

8020ST

0x55437c6c22c222025d2ce8b1678c6669b69e8d64

Realised P&L
$-822.64
Volume
$184.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$17.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? · Yes0.0480.046$9.30−$0.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? · Yes0.0710.055$5.50−$1.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? · Yes0.0400.025$2.45−$1.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$632.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$72.60
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$70.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$96.05
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$101.92
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$108.21
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$55.10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$36.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$52.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0510.000$0.00−$61.20
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$602.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 15:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?BUY0.089108$2.23
10-29 15:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?BUY0.048$4.80
10-29 15:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?BUY0.048$4.80
10-29 15:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?SELL0.07$3.50
10-29 14:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?BUY0.04$4.00
10-29 13:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?BUY0.077108$1.93
10-28 21:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?BUY0.05$2.50
06-15 16:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.051$61.20
04-18 20:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?BUY0.1669999983$61.60
04-18 20:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL0.006$78.16
04-05 15:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.032$61.41
04-03 13:50Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?SELL0.0360025$72.00
04-01 13:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.01914273$35.28
04-01 13:19Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?SELL0.0511$51.10
04-01 13:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.016$3.75