0x554078afcc20a75f345bf2fb786a8302c1e3dc06
0x554078afcc20a75f345bf2fb786a8302c1e3dc06
- Realised P&L
- $-103.89
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $14.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar · Yes | 0.981 | 1.000 | $10.81 | +$0.21 |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.14 | +$0.02 |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Beibit Zhukayev · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.07 | +$0.01 |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 30.5 · Under | 0.980 | 0.475 | $0.66 | −$0.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16? · No | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.27at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$16.39at 0.483Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$15.55at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$14.05at 0.213Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$13.49at 0.514Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.38 |
| 10-17 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9899995696 | $1.38 |
| 10-17 07:52 | Almaty Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Adam Walton vs Beibit Zhukayev | BUY | 0.99 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:48 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert | BUY | 0.99 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:47 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert | BUY | 0.99 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:17 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:16 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:15 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:14 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:13 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:12 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:12 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:10 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:09 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.98 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 07:08 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar | BUY | 0.99 | $1.06 |