PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Scaliiwag

0x553b0e96525cfb2e0b53bb90c7f8862ee6228735

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$112.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$672.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.145$443.51$190.49
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1470.094$229.01$129.80
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$312.49
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$15.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5? · No0.1140.000$0.00$85.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.74
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$446.48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$13.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$243.55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$171.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$1.4k
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$81.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 03:35Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.207276117$634.00
07-01 03:13Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1664585078$192.00
07-01 03:10Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1300330506$166.82
07-01 03:08Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$376.90
01-12 18:51Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2699998956$1.50
01-12 18:51Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2699999863$12.00
01-12 18:51Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2699999857$13.00
01-12 18:45Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
01-07 01:07Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2243999576$9.00
01-07 01:07Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
01-07 01:06Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2199999994$250.00
01-05 03:59Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1372541734$388.00
01-05 03:40Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1290226502$32.00
01-05 03:39Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999992$125.00
01-05 03:39Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?BUY0.1242881838$7.00