0x553ae472290c02065b30286e9e18efb5ea73025d
0x553ae472290c02065b30286e9e18efb5ea73025d
- Realised P&L
- $-678.23
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $87.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.057 | $87.32 | −$105.68 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? · No | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.99 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? · No | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.12at 0.680Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
- +$25.82at 0.560Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 12:13 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1227167807 | $150.00 |
| 06-24 09:09 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1389030882 | $43.00 |
| 06-24 09:06 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999999 | $102.00 |
| 06-23 21:19 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 12:59 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4153690225 | $300.00 |
| 03-07 23:53 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.6098499372 | $315.81 |
| 03-07 16:45 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | BUY | 0.6094443706 | $295.00 |
| 03-07 16:36 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? | BUY | 0.3011126584 | $140.00 |
| 03-04 15:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5599999981 | $290.00 |
| 03-04 15:25 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | BUY | 0.684726238 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 15:25 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | BUY | 0.6710091427 | $100.00 |