0x55381d723ea8936dfcee05504c6451769fbbf3e7
0x55381d723ea8936dfcee05504c6451769fbbf3e7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.78
- Volume
- $172.00
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $19.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Databricks IPO before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.972 | $4.86 | +$0.81 |
| Glean IPO before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.968 | $4.84 | +$0.64 |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · No | 0.830 | 0.930 | $4.65 | +$0.50 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? · No | 0.800 | 0.923 | $4.62 | +$0.62 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.034 | $0.34 | −$5.21 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.030 | $0.15 | −$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.72at 0.410Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$3.11at 0.689Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$2.90at 0.420Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$2.65at 0.669Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$2.03at 0.887Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 18:00 | Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 06-26 15:34 | Will the announcers say "Record" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 06-26 12:55 | Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 06-26 12:43 | Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 06-26 08:05 | Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 06-26 05:09 | Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 06-26 05:07 | Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 06-26 05:07 | Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 06-26 00:36 | Will anyone say "Messy" during Love Island E20? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 06-25 14:40 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 06-25 13:05 | Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 06-25 13:04 | Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.64 |
| 06-25 10:11 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 06-25 10:10 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 06-24 04:57 | Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |