BlazingFist
0x552337556e70f851bff6e0e97a2e00df7d5751e9
- Realised P&L
- $41.6k
- Volume
- $17.20M
- Markets traded
- 1,814
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,814
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.128 | $573.75 | +$438.75 |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.045 | $337.50 | +$37.50 |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.041 | $303.75 | −$3.75 |
| Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.205 | $85.21 | +$22.86 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.500Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
- +$4.5kat 0.198Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.9kat 0.710Broncos vs. Bills
- +$2.8kat 0.526Warriors vs. Timberwolves
- +$2.7kat 0.500Knicks vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 17:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $0.47 |
| 07-15 21:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.575 | $19.2k |
| 07-13 02:12 | Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.008 | $60.00 |
| 07-11 19:24 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.34 |
| 07-05 20:04 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.05 |
| 07-05 20:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.23 | $346.06 |
| 07-05 02:15 | Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.99 |
| 07-04 23:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.49 |
| 07-03 02:48 | Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.009 | $36.39 |
| 07-03 02:46 | Will the Brooklyn Nets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.48 |
| 07-03 01:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.985 | $3.1k |
| 07-03 01:03 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.05 | $93.86 |
| 07-03 01:01 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0175 | $36.75 |
| 07-03 00:54 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.5k |
| 07-02 21:23 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.485 | $10.7k |