PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Strata1

0x551c59f9529d04e78e766738d6fd057c8aa1aa68

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$383.8k
Markets traded
1,095
Open portfolio
$309.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,095
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29? · No0.5400.615$51.25+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 28? · No0.7831.000$21.62+$4.68
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28? · Yes0.4070.989$19.75+$11.61
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28? · No0.4470.360$13.16−$3.19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 30? · No0.8500.800$10.89−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No0.7940.775$10.83−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 29? · No0.6700.700$9.87+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 28? · No0.6400.620$8.72−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? · No0.7200.720$8.66+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30? · No0.7200.655$8.60−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29? · Yes0.2390.210$8.43−$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 29? · No0.6500.605$8.38−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? · No0.6600.615$7.97−$0.58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? · Yes0.4460.530$7.12+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 28? · Yes0.3600.475$6.93+$1.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:24Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?BUY0.2899999959$3.57
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29?BUY0.3$3.90
09-28 11:17Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 28?SELL0.998$11.13
09-28 08:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.7199999867$8.66
09-28 08:54Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?SELL0.998$11.53
09-28 08:34Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28?BUY0.6599999692$6.00
09-28 08:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?SELL0.993$7.95
09-28 06:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.6599999714$6.01
09-28 06:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?BUY0.439999933$2.10
09-28 06:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 28?BUY0.2199999941$3.00
09-28 06:54Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-28 06:48Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.32$4.16
09-28 06:47Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29?BUY0.2099999934$2.85
09-28 06:47Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28?BUY0.449999964$3.75
09-28 06:47Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28?BUY0.45$6.30