tyty67
0x551b84732582a9212adae8bbfb1c6837b647a498
- Realised P&L
- $-47.73
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028? · No | 0.710 | 0.650 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.660 | $0.89 | −$0.26 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.067 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will the next James Bond be British? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will India’s Unemployment Rate increase between December 2025 and January 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
| Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.991Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.20at 0.997Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$0.19at 0.940Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
- +$0.14at 0.880Will Jill Biden speak at the DNC?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:13 | Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:13 | Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:13 | Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.51 |
| 10-29 07:13 | Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $300.00 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $300.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.993 | $299.70 |
| 10-28 07:44 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 07:44 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 10-28 07:44 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 07:43 | Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.994 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 07:41 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 07:41 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 10-28 07:41 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 07-22 05:15 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.9823960239 | $248.06 |