PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hellojosh

0x5519b964a6afb9809f9a061caed6912d98391c6c

Realised P&L
$-868.96
Volume
$57.2k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? · No0.7571.000$550.00+$133.50
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8651.000$500.29+$67.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8820.960$431.77+$34.93
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.942$188.30+$22.30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? · No0.9301.000$112.26+$7.86
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? · No0.9381.000$104.38+$6.44
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? · No0.9081.000$100.00+$9.20
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? · No0.9101.000$100.00+$9.00
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.966$96.55+$21.55
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.963$96.25+$24.25
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.6960.103$63.66$364.47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.7901.000$50.00+$10.50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? · No0.9491.000$36.00+$1.84
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.6000.945$28.35+$10.35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6800.935$28.04+$7.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-14 14:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?BUY0.86$510.22
04-14 14:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.8186$403.36
04-13 13:48Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?SELL0.7002226741$210.06
04-08 12:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?BUY0.94$46.59
04-08 12:06Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?BUY0.95$47.16
04-08 12:03Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.85$42.50
03-19 14:44Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?BUY0.94$18.80
03-19 14:44Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?BUY0.936$41.54
03-19 14:43Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?BUY0.908$90.80
03-19 14:43Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?BUY0.91$91.00
03-19 14:41Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?SELL0.4548676693$108.28
03-19 14:41Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?SELL0.9055683231$304.52
03-19 14:39Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?SELL0.3466396761$5.14
03-19 14:38Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?SELL0.8735001719$76.23
03-17 12:07Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,500-$5,625 in March?BUY0.97$61.11