hellojosh
0x5519b964a6afb9809f9a061caed6912d98391c6c
- Realised P&L
- $-868.96
- Volume
- $57.2k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$372.55at 0.686Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
- +$327.81at 0.667Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$74.00at 0.630US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$61.00at 0.390Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$55.04at 0.839Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 14:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.86 | $510.22 |
| 04-14 14:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.8186 | $403.36 |
| 04-13 13:48 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.7002226741 | $210.06 |
| 04-08 12:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | BUY | 0.94 | $46.59 |
| 04-08 12:06 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.16 |
| 04-08 12:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 03-19 14:44 | Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 03-19 14:44 | Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? | BUY | 0.936 | $41.54 |
| 03-19 14:43 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? | BUY | 0.908 | $90.80 |
| 03-19 14:43 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 03-19 14:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.4548676693 | $108.28 |
| 03-19 14:41 | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? | SELL | 0.9055683231 | $304.52 |
| 03-19 14:39 | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March? | SELL | 0.3466396761 | $5.14 |
| 03-19 14:38 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? | SELL | 0.8735001719 | $76.23 |
| 03-17 12:07 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,500-$5,625 in March? | BUY | 0.97 | $61.11 |