PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x551845119Ff3c07f8c4DA018079329f4c3c346c8-1739822133735

0x551845119ff3c07f8c4da018079329f4c3c346c8

Realised P&L
$5.22
Volume
$47.8k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$713.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.1731.000$300.00+$248.22
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0501.000$100.00+$95.00
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? · No0.2000.805$80.50+$60.50
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4601.000$80.00+$43.20
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? · No0.5891.000$67.89+$27.89
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0601.000$66.62+$62.62
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$7.50$12.50
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.1500.064$6.40$8.60
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.3000.045$4.50$25.50
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$7.50
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$28.00
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$5.20
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$8.40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-05 06:37Will Solana reach $130 in February?BUY0.09$9.00
02-05 06:36Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?BUY0.13$1.25
01-22 20:52Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.5891501456$40.00
01-22 20:49Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.1578531965$20.00
01-19 18:42Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?BUY0.12$12.00
01-19 18:34Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.26$26.00
01-18 07:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.17$34.00
12-31 14:11Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?BUY0.067$6.70
12-31 09:23Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?SELL0.1109$11.09
12-30 20:48Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0075513077$0.98
12-30 20:19Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?BUY0.017$0.43
12-30 20:12Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?BUY0.18$18.00
12-30 20:01Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?SELL0.9702877644$25.69
12-30 18:30Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.973$38.92
12-30 17:19Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.57$28.50