0x551845119Ff3c07f8c4DA018079329f4c3c346c8-1739822133735
0x551845119ff3c07f8c4da018079329f4c3c346c8
- Realised P&L
- $5.22
- Volume
- $47.8k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $713.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.86at 0.287Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
- +$131.98at 0.401Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
- +$75.00at 0.190Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$72.67at 0.391Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$50.00at 0.048Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 06:37 | Will Solana reach $130 in February? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 02-05 06:36 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.25 |
| 01-22 20:52 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5891501456 | $40.00 |
| 01-22 20:49 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.1578531965 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 18:42 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 01-19 18:34 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 01-18 07:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 12-31 14:11 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.067 | $6.70 |
| 12-31 09:23 | Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | SELL | 0.1109 | $11.09 |
| 12-30 20:48 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0075513077 | $0.98 |
| 12-30 20:19 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.43 |
| 12-30 20:12 | Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 12-30 20:01 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31? | SELL | 0.9702877644 | $25.69 |
| 12-30 18:30 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.973 | $38.92 |
| 12-30 17:19 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |