ReflectLens
0x550eea2a11b2c27e52ce2f0d5a06a9cd91e30ad6
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $471.5k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.1k | −$7.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.51at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?
- +$28.66at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
- +$24.54at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 17?
- +$24.07at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?
- +$22.44at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9972927308 | $5.1k |
| 09-19 20:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.1k |
| 09-04 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.2k |
| 08-24 16:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 08-23 17:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 08-22 18:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $949.90 |
| 08-21 18:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 08-20 20:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 08-19 20:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.0k |
| 08-17 17:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.1k |
| 08-16 16:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.1k |
| 08-15 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 08-14 17:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 08-12 19:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |