PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MildlyInterested

0x5503c298a6dc1b102944a4329fb13694dfab1248

Realised P&L
$-394.77
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
587
Open portfolio
$133.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded587
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 65%-70%? · No0.7700.670$13.40$2.00
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · Yes0.5700.340$6.80$4.60
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? · Yes0.4800.340$6.80$2.80
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000? · Yes0.4500.335$6.70$2.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.3700.295$5.90$1.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · Yes0.3000.295$5.90$0.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.4000.280$5.60$2.40
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · No0.3200.270$5.40$1.00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? · Yes0.3100.265$5.30$0.90
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)? · No0.7200.980$4.90+$1.30
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · Yes0.4900.230$4.60$5.20
Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.3100.230$4.51$1.57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%? · Yes0.3300.225$4.50$2.10
Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election? · Yes0.2600.220$4.40$0.80
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000? · Yes0.3800.210$4.20$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 20:59Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.24$1.20
09-21 20:44Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.72$3.60
09-21 20:35Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.21$4.20
09-21 20:07Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2199999802$1.11
09-21 12:43Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?SELL0.32$1.60
09-21 05:56Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.204$1.02
09-21 05:48Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
09-21 05:08Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7909999963$7.12
09-20 15:47Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?BUY0.3$1.50
09-20 15:02Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?BUY0.68$3.40
09-20 13:31Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
09-19 23:45Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)?BUY0.72$3.60
09-19 23:00Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?SELL0.3$6.00
09-19 20:01Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.51$10.20
09-19 11:55Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?BUY0.41$8.20