MildlyInterested
0x5503c298a6dc1b102944a4329fb13694dfab1248
- Realised P&L
- $-394.77
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 587
- Open portfolio
- $133.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded587
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.75at 0.133Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$26.21at 0.141Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$24.58at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 17?
- +$18.80at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 17?
- +$16.60at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 20:59 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 20:44 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-21 20:35 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-21 20:07 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999802 | $1.11 |
| 09-21 12:43 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-21 05:56 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.204 | $1.02 |
| 09-21 05:48 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-21 05:08 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999963 | $7.12 |
| 09-20 15:47 | Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 15:02 | Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-19 23:45 | Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 23:00 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-19 11:55 | Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |