MildlyInterested
0x5503c298a6dc1b102944a4329fb13694dfab1248
- Realised P&L
- $12.06
- Volume
- $300.00
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $74.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.495Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 6?
- +$-0.23at 0.546Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6?
- +$-0.98at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-06 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-06 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 08-05 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.535 | $10.70 |