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Traders

TheMogger72

0x54fc3e92c22b868edbf5a900f9a81ee158744330

Realised P&L
$-345.78
Volume
$43.8k
Markets traded
773
Open portfolio
$161.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded773
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2170.215$111.65−$0.90
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.355$10.65−$0.45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.3260.170$8.99−$8.27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$6.40−$0.11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · No0.5840.652$6.39+$0.67
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0800.128$2.94+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2? · Yes0.1800.245$2.40+$0.64
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.275$2.39+$0.39
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? · No0.3200.415$2.08+$0.47
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.2100.085$1.27−$1.88
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1100.135$1.23+$0.23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2800.160$1.14−$0.86
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Yes0.3400.330$0.97−$0.03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.5400.485$0.90−$0.10
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes0.1190.032$0.53−$1.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2?BUY0.18$1.76
11-01 14:23Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.29$5.07
11-01 14:23Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.29$1.45
11-01 14:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.37$11.10
10-30 20:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-30 20:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?BUY0.449999964$1.25
10-30 20:33Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 31?BUY0.439999956$2.00
10-30 20:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-30 20:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 31?BUY0.08$1.00
10-30 20:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-30 20:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-30 20:28Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-30 20:25Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
10-30 20:25Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.986$17.93
10-30 20:24Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$9.60