idunnowhyyy
0x54fbbce8aedf6e4eed636ccd804384e42752e7f3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $282.2k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $61.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.108France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
- +$1.3kat 0.009World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
- +$446.32at 0.025Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$407.99at 0.854Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
- +$217.89at 0.547Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:09 | Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 19:08 | Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-05 19:05 | Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 10-05 18:22 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 18:22 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 10-05 18:19 | Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.05 |
| 10-05 18:15 | Will Switzerland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.52 |
| 10-05 18:10 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 10-05 18:09 | Will England vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 18:06 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-05 17:31 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.38 | $14.44 |
| 10-05 17:30 | Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.40 |
| 10-04 18:05 | Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |