0x54fA0985F93df6c4c513Ce50a5202d2B2F750fbc-1758764240395
0x54fa0985f93df6c4c513ce50a5202d2b2f750fbc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $164.0k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $62.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$468.85at 0.058Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
- +$426.40at 0.263Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$211.69at 0.365Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$180.31at 0.650Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$100.07at 0.370Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 16:41 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999992 | $70.07 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.96 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $24.72 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $36.93 |
| 03-18 17:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999956 | $41.20 |
| 03-18 17:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 03-18 17:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999933 | $28.10 |
| 02-23 17:34 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5164407923 | $14.51 |
| 02-23 17:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | SELL | 0.27 | $14.51 |
| 02-06 12:50 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026? | BUY | 0.3710666196 | $73.13 |
| 02-06 12:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.08 |
| 02-06 12:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | SELL | 0.0708664453 | $39.70 |
| 02-05 20:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1401069511 | $9.99 |
| 02-05 20:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.1166525988 | $10.00 |
| 02-04 16:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |