PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x54fA0985F93df6c4c513Ce50a5202d2B2F750fbc-1758764240395

0x54fa0985f93df6c4c513ce50a5202d2b2f750fbc

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$164.0k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$62.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.0600.051$60.14$9.93
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0570.004$1.98$26.16
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 11? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$190.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 23? · No0.0510.000$0.00$120.00
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? · No0.0480.000$0.00$80.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$654.28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on December 11? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 23? · No0.0290.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$160.00
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$128.34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 25? · No0.3060.000$0.00$30.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$94.97
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$73.13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 25? · No0.1750.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 16:41Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?BUY0.0599999992$70.07
05-20 16:40Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$17.96
05-20 16:40Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$24.72
05-20 16:40Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$36.93
03-18 17:59Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2999999956$41.20
03-18 17:59Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999987$50.00
03-18 17:57Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999933$28.10
02-23 17:34US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.5164407923$14.51
02-23 17:32Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.27$14.51
02-06 12:50Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?BUY0.3710666196$73.13
02-06 12:47Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?SELL0.11$13.08
02-06 12:47Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?SELL0.0708664453$39.70
02-05 20:24Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.1401069511$9.99
02-05 20:24Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?BUY0.1166525988$10.00
02-04 16:49Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?BUY0.16$10.00