PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lb5

0x54f5eba9e480d9e7145a56bb680746d80d877239

Realised P&L
$-420.87
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes0.0700.005$1.54$18.06
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$300.00
Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$68.60
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Trump releases Epstein list today? · No0.0040.000$0.00$60.00
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Business Roundtable appearance? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$63.00
Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$20.00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$11.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$30.00
US national Solana reserve in 2025? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$83.70
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$110.00
Will the Las Vegas Raiders earn the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft? · No0.0060.000$0.00$27.96
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$330.07
Will the New York Jets earn the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$96.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 22:19Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?SELL0.05794175$50.99
06-22 13:38Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?SELL0.225$70.88
06-21 21:15Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?SELL0.256$80.63
06-19 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
06-16 13:28Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.282$2.82
06-15 11:38SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DaySELL0.91$77.64
06-15 11:29SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.51$51.00
06-15 11:29SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.51$51.00
06-15 11:29SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.51$51.00
06-15 11:26SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.51$51.00
06-15 11:26SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.51$51.00
06-15 11:24SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?BUY0.5$87.50
06-14 20:46SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayBUY0.73$29.20
06-14 20:40SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayBUY0.7$35.00
06-14 20:27SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayBUY0.6979062804$100.00