0x54f5caaeb3baa01c641014d035c58162edc0cce1
- Realised P&L
- $1.18
- Volume
- $216.50
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $10.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.840 | $2.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.740 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.695 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.470 | $1.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.115 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.600 | 0.125 | $0.42 | −$1.58 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.270Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
- +$3.90at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$2.56at 0.445Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 17:07 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 09:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 12:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 04:30 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 20:30 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.84 |
| 09-11 19:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 21:54 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 13:52 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |