0x54f569884fac1bcba2712d509f90da9a3f91759e
0x54f569884fac1bcba2712d509f90da9a3f91759e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.78
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.905 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.13at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$1.08at 0.796Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$-0.53at 1.020Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$-5.36at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$-5.55at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:10 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 22:09 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 23:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.39 |
| 10-08 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.83 |
| 10-08 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $5.95 |
| 10-08 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.05 |
| 10-08 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $5.26 |
| 10-08 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |