0x54F2D477BbB523BacfbA51e6Db6A0EB564504A6D-1781601665475
0x54f2d477bbb523bacfba51e6db6a0eb564504a6d
- Realised P&L
- $616.13
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $206.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $206.12 | −$93.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$670.92at 0.093Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 14:23 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0181932135 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 18:20 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.303 | $1.0k |
| 07-07 10:15 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $300.00 |