PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x54f0f61524C937aa26a6724976B4ee22f741B6b5-1790477333645

0x54f0f61524c937aa26a6724976b4ee22f741b6b5

Realised P&L
$-245.55
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$206.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.4400.675$61.36+$21.36
Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6200.735$59.27+$9.27
Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.5200.465$44.71−$5.29
Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.6000.605$40.33+$0.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3500.011$1.20−$38.80
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up0.7860.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down0.4950.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:06Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5199999954$50.00
09-28 15:02Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.75$59.20
09-28 14:59Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.759999998$60.00
09-28 14:58Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.24$38.40
09-28 14:51Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5BUY0.6199999975$50.00
09-28 14:48Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.599999997$40.00
09-28 14:47Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3499999978$40.00
09-28 14:44Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.25$40.00
09-28 14:42Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4399999996$40.00
09-28 04:49Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4099999984$30.00
09-28 04:48Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4099999984$30.00
09-28 04:48Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.7799999978$50.00
09-28 02:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.786069651$100.00
09-28 02:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.1422340223$100.00
09-28 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSELL0.999$104.06