0x54f0f61524C937aa26a6724976B4ee22f741B6b5-1790477333645
0x54f0f61524c937aa26a6724976b4ee22f741b6b5
- Realised P&L
- $-245.55
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $206.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.675 | $61.36 | +$21.36 |
| Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.735 | $59.27 | +$9.27 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.465 | $44.71 | −$5.29 |
| Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.605 | $40.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.011 | $1.20 | −$38.80 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up | 0.786 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.32at 0.572Will SD Eibar win on 2026-09-27?
- +$37.73at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$33.34at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$22.90at 0.768Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$20.27at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:06 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:02 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.75 | $59.20 |
| 09-28 14:59 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $60.00 |
| 09-28 14:58 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.24 | $38.40 |
| 09-28 14:51 | Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 14:48 | Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.599999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 14:47 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 14:44 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 14:42 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4399999996 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 04:49 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 04:48 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 04:48 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.786069651 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1422340223 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $104.06 |